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PACIFIC LIFE OPEN, March 8-21 2004, Indian Wells
 
A few weeks off and the tour returns to a somewhat more reputable event after some time off following the Australian Open at the start of the year. This event in Indian Wells, and the following tournament in Miami provides a hugely important month for players, as seasons can be given a confidence boosting shove in the right direction, or can create a disappointing drop, as there are a lot of points on offer for two good performances. That being the case, a good month for Maria will set up another rise in the rankings. This year has already seen Maria challenging, despite her not playing to her fullest potenial and suffering some disappointing losses along the way. Her shocking start to last years season has allowed for Maria to gain points at  most events, and combined with her high ranking and her regular seedings, Maria is gaining points from a week without even playing a game. Similarly, she isnt losing points of any significant amount. Whilst others around her in the rankings are dropping quarters, semis and finals points, Maria is dropping first round points, and so will rise up the rankings even if she isnt even entered in an event.
 
This week however, she is entered in an event. Last year, Maria was given a wild card for this event, based on the furore surrounding her first season as a pro. This year, she is the 16th seed. How things can change. Indeed, as described above, Maria has already gained points from this event, as she has received a bye into the second round by being seeded. One would presume that the same would apply in Miami a fortnight from now, and we are looking at the very real prospect of Maria heading into the clay season as a top 20 player. Good news, and a long way from the winless season Maria was faced with last year.
 
The event itself needs little explaination. It is seen as one of the more significant events behind the Grand Slams, as the prize money suggests, offering a purse of $2,100,000. Ranking points of 325 for the winner provides the non financial incentive, as well as the reputation of winning such a significant event.
 
THE DRAW
 
As mentionned before, Maria is seeded, which means that she will get a bye through the first round. After having a while off, a few extra days will be of little significance to Maria, but all the same, it means she will be fresher than her second round opponent. It will set her up for a nice run into the second week hopefully. It will be the same for everyone, but having 2 days between matches instead of one will mean that Maria will be fresher and more able to play to her ability.This will be of help, as on her day, Maria is capable of beating most, and pushing all . As teh darw unfolds, we will see the extent to which she has the ability to push the top players.
 

 

1st  round 2nd round 3rd round 4th round QF SF Final Winner
Henin-Hardenne(1) Henin-Hardenne(1)            
Bye
Reeves  
Kutuzova
Parra    
Qualifier
bye Black(32)
Black(32)
Daniilidou(23) Daniilidou(23)    
Bye
Haynes  
Qualifier
Gagliardi    
Frazier
Bye Maleeva(13)
Maleeva(13)
Kuznetsova(12) Kuznetsova(12)      
Bye
Qualifier  
Sequera
Czink    
Majoli
Bye Molik(22)
Molik(22)
Loit(30) Loit(30)    
Bye
Bartoli  
Sucha
Grande    
Qualifier
Bye Rubin(5)
Rubin(5)
Myskina(4) Myskina(4)        
Bye
Cohen-Aloro  
Camerin
Diaz-Oliva    
Morigami
Bye Vento-Kabachi(31)
Vento-Kabachi(31)
Serna(17) Serna(17)    
Bye
Stevenson  
Karatancheva
Cervanova    
Pennetta
Bye Sharapova(16)
Sharapova(16)
Martinez(11) Martinez(11)      
Bye
Craybas  
Callens
Kirilenko    
Kurhajcova
Bye Raymond(18)
Raymond(18)
Likhovtseva(29) Likhovtseva(29)    
Bye
Perebiynis  
Schett
Golovin    
Asagoe
Bye Suarez(8)
Suarez(8)
Petrova(7) Petrova(7)          
Bye
Qualifier  
Ruano-Pascual
Qualifier    
Koukalova
Bye Sanchez-Lorenzo(25)
Sanchez-Lorenzo(25)
Hantuchova(24) Hantuchova(24)    
Bye
Jackson  
Qualifier
Leon Garcia    
Panova
Bye Dokic(9)
Dokic(9)
Schiavone(14) Schiavone(14)      
Bye
Chladkova  
Brandi
Randriantefy    
Medina-Guarrigues
Bye Shaughnessy(20)
Shaughnessy(20)
Sprem(26) Sprem(26)    
Bye
Kleinova  
Qualifier
Garbin    
Santangelo
Bye Davenport(3)
Davenport(3)
Zvonareva(6) Zvonareva(6)        
Be
Ondraskova  
Mikaelian
Schaul    
Jankovic
Bye Obata(28)
Obata(28)
Dechy(19) Dechy(19)    
Bye
Qualifier  
Vakulenko
Kleibanova    
Kostanic
Bye Pistolesi(10)
Pistolesi(10)
Zuluaga(15) Zuluaga(15)      
Bye
Kapros  
Nagyova
Qualifier    
Kremer
Bye Pisnik(21)
Pisnik(21)
Mandula(27) Mandula(27)    
Bye
Granville  
Tanasugarn
Qualifier    
Qualifier
Bye Clijsters(2)
Clijsters(2)

So the first round should prove an easy prospect, in that she wont be playing anyone. Second round, she should face Ludmila Cervanova. The Slovak, ranked just outside the top 50, will be a tougher draw than Maria might have hoped for in the second round, having drawn one the higher ranked players to not receive a wildcard. Nevertheless, Maria would have to face much harder opponents during the event if she wanted to reach the latter stages, and so playing a better opponent than anticipated may help Maria find her game quicker than if she wasnt really tested, and that is a good thing. I would be very surprised if Maria didnt come through this match, and having to maintain a decent standard throughout will aid her cause for the rest of the event.
Third round, Maria will face 17th seed Magui Serna. It is, as always seems to be the case of late, testament to Maria's development that she enters this event ranked higher than Serna. However, this is another test that Maria will be faced with. In the round of 32, the odds are obviously in favour of playing a seed, and playing one whom is seeded below is better than one above. Playing someone ranked close to Maria will provide the opportunity to see if her ranking is actually well deserved, and not the result of a freak season last year, followed by three consistent performances this season. Serna is ranked one place below Maria at 25, and will be an excellent test of the legitimacy of the ranking system, and of the quality evident in Maria's game. The Spaniard has however, been suffereing for form of late, having not reached further than a second round in any event this year of the 5 she has entered, and suffering surprising defeats to wildcards and qualifiers in Antwerp, Doha and the Australian Open. I think that although she will reach the third round this week, i dont see her getting any further, and Maria will progress onto the next round.
In the fourth round, Maria is likely to face her compatriot Anastasia Myskina. The two have already played this year, at third round in the Australian Open, where Maria was beaten. Myskina went on to lose to Clijsters in the Quarters, and her good form has continued through the season. Indeed, last week she won in Doha, and moved up to the top 5. This match should be a step too far for Maria. A good week should come to an end, but for a player of Maria's age, any chance to play anyone from the top ten should be seen as a yardstick of progress, and as an excellent way to learn the game off the practice court.
 
Round One: Bye
Round Two: Maria def Cervanova in straights
Round Three: Maria def Serna in three
Round Four: Myskina def Maria in three
Quarters: Myskina def Suarez in straights
Semis: Henin-Hardenne def Myskina in three
Final: Henin-Hardenne def Clijsters in straights
 
Any comments, send them to matty_donaldson1@hotmail.com. Enjoy

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